The scales have spoken. Now comes the harder part.
Canelo Alvarez and Christian Mbilli cleared the 168-pound limit at the October 30 weigh-in, setting up their WBC super middleweight championship showdown at Kingdom Arena in Riyadh. Canelo registered 167.6 pounds, while defending champion Mbilli weighed 167.8 pounds.
For Filipino fans, another matchup deserves attention: Carl Jammes Martin against David Picasso. The unbeaten Filipino has his opportunity on a major international stage. Can he turn it into a career breakthrough?
Here are the reported weights for all nine bouts, followed by Powcast’s final thoughts. All weights are in pounds.
Canelo Alvarez vs. Christian Mbilli
Weigh-in: Canelo 167.6 | Mbilli 167.8
WBC Super Middleweight Championship
This fight asks whether Canelo’s timing and experience can overcome Mbilli’s pressure. Canelo needs to punish the champion’s advances with accurate counters and body shots. Mbilli must sustain an uncomfortable pace without becoming an easy target.
Final thought: Watch Canelo’s activity. Landing clean counters matters, but allowing Mbilli to dictate long stretches could surrender rounds. Mbilli needs intelligent pressure; Canelo needs enough offense to command respect.
Jaime Munguia vs. Nikita Zon
Weigh-in: Munguia 167.4 | Zon 167.5
WBA Super Middleweight Championship
Munguia brings considerably more professional experience into this defense. Zon enters unbeaten, but facing an established world champion is a substantial examination of that record.
Final thought: Munguia should apply pressure behind a responsible defense. Giving an unbeaten challenger unnecessary openings can build confidence. Zon needs to establish early that Munguia cannot simply walk through him.
Rafael Espinoza vs. Ricardo Blandon
Weigh-in: Espinoza 125.8 | Blandon 126
WBO Featherweight Championship
Espinoza should look to establish his range and force Blandon to work for every opening. Blandon’s challenge is closing the distance without absorbing too much punishment.
Final thought: Espinoza has the tools to control this matchup, but chasing a spectacular finish could create avoidable risks. Blandon needs to disrupt the champion’s rhythm and make the exchanges uncomfortable.
David Picasso vs. Carl Jammes Martin
Weigh-in: Picasso 125.8 | Martin 126
Featherweight, 10 rounds
This is the fight Filipino fans should have circled. Martin enters 28-0 with 21 knockouts, while Picasso brings a 33-1-1 record with 18 knockouts. Those records set up a meaningful examination of Martin’s readiness for bigger assignments.
Final thought: Martin cannot spend too many rounds waiting for the perfect knockout punch. He needs to establish his jab, attack the body and finish exchanges with his defense intact. Clean combinations will serve him better than loading up on every shot.
Powcast’s pick remains Martin by late TKO or decision. It is a demanding assignment, and he must earn that prediction round by round.
Reito Tsutsumi vs. Raymundo Rojas
Weigh-in: Tsutsumi 129 | Rojas 128.8
Junior lightweight, 10 rounds
Tsutsumi has only five professional bouts, while Rojas brings significantly more professional experience. This should help reveal how comfortably Tsutsumi adjusts when an opponent presents different problems.
Final thought: Tsutsumi should prioritize control before chasing a highlight. Rojas needs to interrupt his rhythm and force adjustments. How Tsutsumi responds to resistance could be more revealing than an impressive opening round.
Bek Nurmaganbet vs. Marcos Vazquez Rodriguez
Weigh-in: Nurmaganbet 171.5 | Vazquez Rodriguez 170.5
Light heavyweight, 10 rounds
Nurmaganbet’s 14 knockouts in 16 wins make his power an obvious talking point. Vazquez Rodriguez needs to avoid becoming a stationary target.
Final thought: Watch the setup behind the power. Patient positioning and body work can make Nurmaganbet’s task easier. Vazquez Rodriguez needs disciplined exits and enough offense to prevent a one-way pursuit.
Emiliano Rojo vs. Flavius Biea
Weigh-in: Rojo 165 | Biea 164.6
Super middleweight, eight rounds
Unbeaten Rojo meets an experienced opponent in Biea, offering an opportunity to demonstrate composure as well as protect his record.
Final thought: Rojo should build rounds through consistent work. Biea’s route is to change the rhythm, make Rojo reset and prevent him from settling into comfortable combinations.
Brayan Leon vs. Hector Aguirre
Weigh-in: Leon 166.5 | Aguirre 168
Super middleweight, eight rounds
Both fighters enter unbeaten, giving this preliminary matchup a competitive storyline of its own.
Final thought: Establishing an effective jab and adjusting when the first approach stops working could decide this contest. Neither fighter should assume his previous success guarantees control against another unbeaten opponent.
Sultan Almohammed vs. Erick Villegas
Weigh-in: Almohammed 131.2 | Villegas 130.5
Six rounds
Almohammed enters unbeaten against Villegas. These are the published scale readings; they do not, by themselves, establish a violation of the contracted weight.
Final thought: Almohammed should remain disciplined and let openings develop. Villegas needs to disrupt his momentum early. With only six rounds scheduled, a slow start leaves less time to recover.
Card Update: Delgado–Biyarslanov Is Off
Lindolfo Delgado’s planned vacant IBF junior welterweight title fight against Arthur Biyarslanov is off following Delgado’s withdrawal. His trainer, Robert Garcia, cited travel and safety concerns. There are no weigh-in results to report for that matchup.
Canelo’s pursuit of another world title leads the show, but Martin has a chance to give Filipino fans their own defining moment. Making weight gets him to the starting line. Beating Picasso would move the conversation about his career forward.
Can Martin deliver—and can Mbilli force Canelo to fight at his pace?
